Recognizing the Need for Change

Rita McGrath, Columbia Business School professor and author of the article, “Transient Advantage,” discusses several traps that can blind a company to the need for imminent changes to their strategy to preserve competitive advantage. These traps, discussed in the second half of the article, include: the first-mover trap, the superiority trap, the quality trap, the hostage-resources trap, the white space trap, the empire-building trap, and the sporadic-innovation trap.

Locate and post a link to an article in The Wall Street Journal, or another reputable source, about a company that fell victim to one or more of these traps.

Identify the trap(s) and discuss why you believe the company’s management missed the warning signs.
What were the impacts that resulted from falling for the trap(s)?
Drawing on the guidance offered by Sherman in Chapter 6, what could they have done differently to avoid the trap(s)?

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It’s challenging to definitively say which trap a company fell into without insider knowledge. However, I can offer an analysis of a company that seems to have exhibited behaviors consistent with several of McGrath’s traps, and discuss what they could have done differently.

Company: Nokia (circa 2007-2013)

Article: While a specific WSJ article focusing solely on Nokia’s downfall is hard to pinpoint, numerous articles and analyses have been written about their decline. This article from the Harvard Business Review titled “Nokia’s Smartphone Meltdown” provides a good overview: https://hbr.org/2012/07/how-nokia-missed-the-mobile-revolution

Traps and Analysis:

Nokia appears to have fallen victim to a combination of traps:

  • Superiority Trap: Nokia was the dominant player in the mobile phone market for many years. This success led to a sense of complacency and a belief that they were invincible. They underestimated the threat posed by the emerging smartphone market, particularly the iPhone and Android. They were slow to adapt and innovate in this new space, clinging to their existing feature phone model.

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  • Quality Trap: Nokia was known for its high-quality, durable phones. They focused on improving the quality of their existing products rather than anticipating the shift in consumer preferences towards new features and software capabilities. They were so focused on “quality” in the traditional sense that they missed the evolving definition of “quality” in the eyes of consumers.
  • First-Mover Trap: While Nokia was an early innovator in mobile phones, they failed to capitalize on their first-mover advantage in the smartphone market. They were slow to recognize the potential of app ecosystems and touch-screen interfaces, allowing competitors like Apple and Google to leapfrog them.

Why Management Missed the Warning Signs:

Several factors contributed to Nokia’s management missing the warning signs:

  • Complacency: Their past success bred complacency and a reluctance to disrupt their existing business model.
  • Lack of Vision: They failed to anticipate the shift in consumer preferences towards software and internet-enabled features.
  • Internal Focus: They were too focused on internal improvements and incremental innovation rather than looking outward at the changing market landscape.
  • Arrogance: They underestimated the capabilities of their competitors and dismissed the threat they posed.

Impacts:

Nokia’s failure to adapt resulted in:

  • Loss of Market Share: They went from being the dominant player to a minor player in the mobile phone market.
  • Financial Decline: Their profits plummeted, and they eventually sold their mobile phone business to Microsoft.
  • Damage to Reputation: Their brand image was tarnished, and they lost the trust of consumers.

What They Could Have Done Differently (Drawing on Sherman):

Sherman, in Chapter 6, emphasizes the importance of “sensing and shaping” in dynamic environments. Nokia could have done the following:

  • Sensing:
    • Actively monitor the market: They should have paid closer attention to the emerging trends in the smartphone market and the changing needs of consumers.
    • Challenge their assumptions: They should have questioned their belief in their own superiority and been open to the possibility that their existing business model was becoming obsolete.
    • Seek diverse perspectives: They should have sought input from a wider range of sources, including customers, employees, and industry experts.
  • Shaping:
    • Experiment and iterate: They should have invested in developing new smartphone technologies and experimented with different business models.
    • Embrace change: They should have been willing to disrupt their existing business model and adapt to the changing market.
    • Build strategic partnerships: They could have partnered with companies like Google to leverage their expertise in software and mobile platforms.

By being more proactive in sensing and shaping the market, Nokia could have avoided the traps they fell into and maintained their competitive advantage.

It’s important to remember that hindsight is 20/20. However, by understanding the traps that can blind companies to change and by actively practicing the principles of sensing and shaping, businesses can increase their chances of success in dynamic environments.

 

 

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