Jonathan Luna Case

Forum: Create, sort, & evaluate the sufficiency of alternative hypotheses of Jonathan Luna’s last hours. Fill out
"Wk 7 alternative hypothesis"
Creating plausible multiple hypotheses for a case is probably the single most neglected task in both law
enforcement and intelligence operations. A lack of objectivity due to the lack of multiple hypotheses is probably
the biggest reason for the mistakes and failures in these cases. Brainstorming the case facts should generate
number of hypotheses. Many of these can be immediately discarded resulting in a set of plausible hypotheses.
Determining the most plausible is the task for next week. This week, you do a gap analysis to see what
information you have and thus what you still need to evaluate whether each of the hypotheses may be the
correct one.