Forecasting and Demand Presentation

Forecasting is essentially a reactive approach that considers fluctuations in demand to be mostly outside the firm’s control.

Rather than simply forecasting and reacting to changes in demand, however, business executives would prefer to influence the

timing, pattern, and certainty of demand to whatever extent they can. They do this through demand management activities that

adjust product characteristics including price, promotion, and availability. The purpose is to influence product demand to achieve

sales objectives and to accommodate the supply chain resources and capacities that a firm has in place.

  1. How would you require extra resources to expand and contract capacity to meet varying demand for your current

organization?

  1. How does backlogging smooth out certain orders to demand fluctuations?
  2. When does customer dissatisfaction create an inability to meet all demands?
  3. How would you buffer a system through the use of safety stocks (excess inventories), safety lead time (lead times with

a cushion) or safety capacity (excess resources) at work?

  1. 10 – 12 slides excluding cover and reference page
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Demand Management: Strategies for Balancing Supply and Demand

Slide 1: Title Slide

  • Title: Demand Management: Strategies for Balancing Supply and Demand

  • Subtitle: Optimizing Operations and Customer Satisfaction

Slide 2: Introduction

  • Context: Demand fluctuations are a constant challenge for businesses.

  • Objective: This presentation explores strategies for effectively managing demand to achieve sales objectives and optimize operational efficiency.

Slide 3: Forecasting vs. Demand Management

  • Forecasting: Reactive approach, predicting future demand based on historical data.

  • Demand Management: Proactive approach, influencing demand patterns through strategic actions.

  • Benefits of Demand Management:

    • Increased control over sales cycles.

    • Reduced operational costs and disruptions.

    • Enhanced customer satisfaction.

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Slide 4: Strategies for Demand Management

  • Pricing: Adjusting prices to influence demand.
    • Price discounts: Stimulating demand during slow periods.
    • Premium pricing: Maximizing profit during peak periods.
  • Promotion: Using marketing campaigns to create demand.
    • Advertising: Creating awareness and generating interest.
    • Special offers: Encouraging customers to buy now.
  • Availability: Managing product availability to influence purchase decisions.
    • Inventory control: Optimizing stock levels to meet demand.
    • Lead time management: Adjusting production and delivery times.

Slide 5: Expanding and Contracting Capacity

  • Question: How would you require extra resources to expand and contract capacity to meet varying demand for your current organization?
  • Example: A manufacturing company may hire temporary workers during peak seasons and lay them off during slow seasons to adjust production capacity.
  • Strategies:
    • Flexible Workforce: Leveraging temporary staff, part-time employees, and flexible scheduling.
    • Outsourcing: Partnering with external providers to handle overflow production or customer service.
    • Flexible Production Systems: Utilizing technology to adjust production lines or manufacturing processes.

Slide 6: Backlogging and Demand Fluctuations

  • Question: How does backlogging smooth out certain orders to demand fluctuations?
  • Backlogging: Accepting orders even when unable to fulfill them immediately.
  • Benefits:
    • Ensures customer loyalty and avoids losing potential sales.
    • Provides time to catch up with production or acquire additional resources.
  • Considerations:
    • Potential for customer dissatisfaction if backlogs are too long.
    • The need for clear communication and realistic delivery estimates.

Slide 7: Customer Dissatisfaction and Demand

  • Question: When does customer dissatisfaction create an inability to meet all demands?
  • Consequences: Customers dissatisfied with backlogs, delays, or stockouts may choose competitors.
  • Mitigating Customer Dissatisfaction:
    • Provide accurate delivery estimates and transparent communication.
    • Offer compensation for delays or inconvenience (e.g., discounts, expedited shipping).
    • Develop a strong customer service strategy to address complaints and concerns.

Slide 8: Buffering Strategies

  • Question: How would you buffer a system through the use of safety stocks (excess inventories), safety lead time (lead times with a cushion) or safety capacity (excess resources) at work?

Slide 9: Safety Stocks

  • Definition: Holding extra inventory to avoid stockouts during unexpected demand spikes.
  • Benefits:
    • Ensures product availability, even during uncertain periods.
    • Reduces risks of lost sales and customer dissatisfaction.
  • Considerations:
    • Increased storage costs and potential for obsolescence.
    • The need for careful inventory management.

Slide 10: Safety Lead Time

  • Definition: Building extra time into the lead time (the time between ordering and receiving a product) to accommodate delays or uncertainties.
  • Benefits: Minimizes risks of delivery delays and ensures products arrive on time.
  • Considerations: May result in increased costs for expedited shipping or overtime.

Slide 11: Safety Capacity

  • Definition: Having extra resources available to handle unexpected surges in demand.
  • Benefits: Allows for flexibility and responsiveness to demand fluctuations.
  • Considerations:
    • Increased costs associated with maintaining excess resources.
    • Potential for underutilization during slow periods.

Slide 12: Conclusion

  • Demand Management is Key: Effective demand management is vital for balancing supply and demand, optimizing operations, and exceeding customer expectations.
  • Tailored Approach: Choose strategies that best fit your organization’s specific industry, products, and target market.

 

 

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