Cognitive Bias in the U.S. Intelligence Community

For decades, the US Intelligence Community has studied the cognitive traps that can lead intelligence analysts down the

wrong path or keep them from seeing. Choose any current or historical example and introduce the flawed intelligence,

highlight and explain the cognitive bias, describe associated logic errors. and describe how policy was adversely affected.

Historical examples include the Weapons of Mass Destruction in Iraq: Yom-Kippur War, Battle of Austerlitz; Operation

Allied Force (Kosovo), Peart Harbor, Cuban Missile Crisis, or the German attack on the Soviet Union.

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