Analysis of Competing Hypotheses using Structured Analytical Techniques (SAT)
Conduct a basic ACH process to answer the specific intelligence question “Will President Maduro and his socialist regime lose control of the Venezuelan
government in the next year?”
use the eight steps of ACH to identify the most likely, most dangerous, and least likely course of action to answer a specific intelligence question.
forecast the correct course of action on the adversary. All evidential information is based on the five sources you included in your Module 7 Annotated
bibliography. You may add additional sources if you like. This information will be presented in #3 below.
Submit your assignment with the following headings and requirements:
- Introduce the Intelligence Question (Select the same question your researched in Module 7):
a. Will the military of Turkey conduct a second coup to oust Turkish President Erdogan?
b. What group will conduct the next terror attack in the US homeland, and how will they attack?
c. Will President Maduro and his socialist regime lose control of the Venezuelan government in the next year?
d. What is China’s next action in the South China Sea? - Identify three possible hypotheses to be considered. In the CIA link, it says to “use a group of analysts with different perspectives to brainstorm the…